Joint Programming Initiative

More Years, Better Lives

The Potential and Challenges of Demographic Change

Population forecast model
Bevolkingsprognose

Topic
Health and Performance
Housing, Urban Development and Mobility
Relevance for this Topic
Country Netherlands
More Topics

Governance

Contact information

Department of Demographic Statistics
Statistics Netherlands
Henri Faasdreef 312
2492 JP Den Haag
Netherlands
Phone: Infoservice: 003188 570 70 70
Email: info(at)cbs.nl

Timeliness, transparency

Data (population number, households, regional) is collected every two years.

Type of data


Registry

Type of Study


Statistical model, based on historical population statistics

Data gathering method

Registries

Type of data


Registry

Type of Study


Statistical model, based on historical population statistics

Data gathering method

Registries


Access to data


Population forecast publicly accessible through Statline (www.cbs.nl)

Conditions of access


Population forecast publicly accessible through Statline (www.cbs.nl)


Not applicable


Aggregated tables


Excel


Contact data administrator (see contact information)

Access to data


Population forecast publicly accessible through Statline (www.cbs.nl)

Conditions of access


Population forecast publicly accessible through Statline (www.cbs.nl)


Not applicable


Aggregated tables


Excel


Contact data administrator (see contact information)


Coverage


Prognosis for 2013 - 2060. Data collection is ongoing and is scheduled to continue at some point in the future.


2013


Not applicable


Not applicable


Entire Dutch population


No age restrictions


Detailed study of: Population forecast; number of people, households, regional distribution.


www.cbs.nl/.../...rends-groei-grote-steden-art.htm

Coverage


Prognosis for 2013 - 2060; Data collection is ongoing and is scheduled to continue at some point in the future.


2013


Not applicable


Not applicable


Entire Dutch population


No age restrictions


Detailed study of: Population forecast; number of people, households, regional distribution.


www.cbs.nl/.../...rends-groei-grote-steden-art.htm


Linkage


Basic data linkable to other person databases through anonymized personal number.

Linkage


Basic data linkable to other person databases through anonymized personal number.


Data quality


Prognosis are always checked for internal inconsistencies and compared with actual developments in population statistics.


All population estimations within the same prognosis are comparable.

Data quality


Prognosis are always checked for internal inconsistencies and compared with actual developments in population statistics.


All population estimations within the same prognosis are comparable.


Applicability


Strengths: The registry provides an advanced prognosis model. Model improvements were made in 2012, which involved using population trends in other European countries. Weaknesses: The registry uses the de jure population and has a separate estimate of the illegal population.

Applicability


Strengths: The registry provides an advanced prognosis model. Model improvements were made in 2012, which involved using population trends in other European countries. Weaknesses: The registry uses the de jure population and has a separate estimate of the illegal population.


  • The information about this dataset was compiled by the author:
  • Frank P. Pijpers
  • (see Partners)